|Dew Point:||10.0°F (-12.2°C)|
|Wind:||From the SSW at 7.0 MPH Gusting to 18.0 MPH|
|Wind Chill:||33°F (0°C)|
|Sea Level Pressure:||30.28" (1025.3 mb)|
Hi 43 °F
Hi 61 °F
Hi 68 °F
Hi 62 °F
Mostly clear, with a low around 21. North wind 5 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 23 mph.
Sunny, with a high near 43. Light and variable wind becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Partly cloudy, with a low around 35. South wind 7 to 10 mph.
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 61. Southwest wind 11 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 50. Southwest wind 8 to 10 mph.
Mostly cloudy, with a high near 68.
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Showers likely. Cloudy, with a high near 62. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 51. Chance of precipitation is 50%.
over the forecast area by Thursday morning. That will lead to decoupling of the wind field (the gradient has already started to relax) and radiational cooling. The best cooling will occur in the mountains, where lows will be in the teens. However, the entire area will be in the 20s by sunrise tomorrow. Ultimately, the extent of radiational cooling will depend upon when winds diminish. With dewpoints near 10 above, there is plenty of room for cooling, and the source of the uncertainty.
SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... Warm advection will commence by Thursday afternoon, and the axis of the high will move offshore by Thursday night. It is less certain whether the warming will be realized at ground level during the day. Therefore, forecast highs will be similar to today. The warming will begin to mix to the surface Thursday night. The ECMWF has been (and continues to be) much wetter than other guidance late Thursday night into early Friday morning near a warm front. Given warming aloft, that suggests a freezing rain threat. The ECMWF is alone in this solution; other guidance is all dry. Have reduced PoPs a pinch (have 20-30% in database). Am reluctant to remove PoPs outright, but at the same time am skeptical whether this will pose an impact.
Forecast area will be on the warm side of the upper ridge on Friday. Highs near 60; lows 45-50.
LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Warm southerly flow over our area as a high pressure sits offshore- will allow for well above normal temperatures on Saturday... reaching the 70s for most locations... 60s otherwise.
Backdoor cold front pushes south Saturday night into Sunday and stalls near or above our CWA into Monday as low pressure approaches the southern Great Lakes. PoPs will be increasing as this low continues to move ENE through the front Sunday into Monday.
There seems to be a drier period sometime Monday night into early Tuesday before a cold front pushes through the area Tuesday into Tuesday night as PoPs increases. Dry conditions return on Wednesday. High temperatures Sunday into Tuesday will be in the 50s and 60s, and in the 40s on Wednesday behind the front.